Tweet rotcreated date: ; modified date: ; status: finished
Wikipedia reports the link rot rate of about 5% year. But link rot may affect different parts of the internet differently.
I use twitter a lot and, since I wasn’t able to find any research on tweet rot, I looked at whether the tweets I liked in the past are still available today to determine it.
Here are the results:
- 4% tweet rot rate over 1-2 months (of 204 tweets I liked 31-62 days ago, 8 are unavailable today)
- 7% tweet rot rate over 6-8 months (of 308 tweets I liked 184-245 days ago, 22 are unavailable today)
- 17% tweet rot rate over 24-26 months (of 145 tweets I liked 731-791 days ago, 25 are unavailable today)
I have a gap in my twitter archives about 1 year ago, but based on the numbers above, I would estimate that
- the tweet rot rate over 1 year is ~10%, i.e. twice as big as in the rest of the internet.
Methodology / Caveats
- if a tweet quote-tweeted an unavailable tweet, I consider it rotten
- if a previously public account became private, I consider its tweets rotten
- if a tweet that was replying to a deleted tweet, I consider it rotten
How do I know about the tweets I liked that were deleted?
- IFTTT applet that adds liked tweets to a Google Sheet
- IFTTT applet that adds liked tweets to OneNote
- the sample is rather small!
- different people have very different probabilities of being banned on Twitter
- it seems that people I follow seem to be especially unlikely to be banned, which probably biases my analysis downwards
Best deleted tweets I found*
*without the authors’ names to protect their privacy.
The bare truth of science:
Nobody believes a computational model except the person who built it.
Everybody believes an experimental measurement except the person who made it.
— … June 28, 2018
We are living in an era of woke capitalism in which companies pretend to care about social justice to sell products to people who pretend to hate capitalism.
— … September 6, 2018
I would like to thank my parents for their archiving compulsions which I inherited wholly.